For the record, I hate the Thursday night opener. I don’t have a good reason why. On the one hand, I’m happy the season is getting underway tonight, but on the other, I feel like the league is throwing off the competitive balance just for some cheap TV ratings; let’s face it, the Colts and Saints get a nice long week before Week 2, and it’s not like it’s a big deal for them to prepare to start the season three days early.
Anyhow, as is my annual tradition, I’m writing up a quick and dirty set of predictions for the pending NFL season. I’ll basically gloss over all 8 divisions, then make a set of picks for this week’s games.
AFC East
It’s the Patriots to lose. I don’t see any other team in the division giving them a run for their money, unless Brady goes down. The rest of the field here is mediocre, at best.
AFC North
I like the Ravens here, but the Bengals could also be a factor. Brady Quinn will be the Browns starting QB after their bye week (if not sooner).
AFC South
The Texans might give the Colts a run for their money, and I think they’ll at least be a Wild Card contender. The Jags have QB issues, and Tennessee will miss Adam Jones.
AFC West
The Broncos win the division, simply because Norv Turner will regress the Chargers (although talent alone should secure the other AFC Wild Card spot for them), Herm Edwards will melt down the Chiefs, and the Raiders will be a disaster (again).
NFC East
The only division I really care about. I’m picking my Redskins to get it done with an improved defense (thanks to the addition of Fletcher and Landry), and a more mature offense guided by Jason Campbell. The Eagles will win the Wild Card behind a resurgent Donovan McNabb, New York will be shopping for a new coach in the offseason, and the Cowboys will soon miss Bill Parcells.
NFC North
Unless the Bears find a miracle at quarterback, the Vikings are primed to steal this division. They have a young quarterback in his second year in the current offensive system, a spectacular rookie RB, and a very solid defensive front seven. Green Bay keeps putting off the rebuilding for the sake of Favre, and the Lions are still the Lions.
NFC South
If Brees stays healthy, it’s the Saints all the way to the Super Bowl. But keep an eye on the Panthers, and don’t count out the Falcons just because their overrated and overpaid quarterback is awaiting a jail sentence.
NFC West
Toughest division in the league here. All four teams have a realistic shot. If I had to pick, I’d take the Seahawks, with the Rams a close second.
Now, on to this week’s games:
New Orleans at Indianapolis: Big matchup to start the season, but I don’t think it’s going to be very close. The Colts offense is a well-oiled machine with a very, very confident QB running the show now. I expect the defending champs to win big.
Philadelphia at Green Bay: The Brett Favre farewell tour starts here. Pick: Eagles
Atlanta at Minnesota: Adrian Peterson ought to run for about 200 yards this week. Pick: Vikings
Miami at Washington: It’s the 25th anniversary of Super Bowl XVII. It would be heresy to pick anyone but the Redskins.
New England at New York Jets: The Chad Pennington Era is almost over in New York. Pick: Patriots
Tennessee at Jacksonville: Del Rio is on the hotseat. He probably needs a win more than any coach in the league right now. Pick: Jaguars
Denver at Buffalo: Meh. Pick: Broncos
Pittsburgh at Cleveland: I don’t like the Tomlin hire by Pittsburgh. I think they should have kept the job in-house. And I don’t think Tomlin has ever been a head coach anywhere. Pick: Browns
Carolina at St. Louis: Bill Simmons made a good point… it’s pretty messed up that Michael Vick might be out of a job for good, but Leonard Little is suiting up this week. Pick: Rams
Kansas City at Houston: The Chiefs will be a train wreck this season. Mark my words. Pick: Texans
Tampa Bay at Seattle: Same as above, except replace “Chiefs” with “Bucs” and “Texans” with “Seahawks.”
Chicago at San Diego: This probably should have been last year’s Super Bowl matchup, if it weren’t for Marty Schottenheimer’s rotten luck in the playoffs. Pick: Chargers
Detroit at Oakland: Let’s see… the Raiders won 2 games all last year… they have a head coach who’s younger than some of his players, they have the #1 pick in the draft holding out, they cut the first pick of the third round of the draft, and rather than starting Daunte Culpepper at QB (who would own an MVP trophy if it weren’t for Peyton Manning), they’re going with Josh McCown. It’s a good time to be a Raider hater. Pick: Lions
New York Giants at Dallas: Wow. Both teams look like disasters waiting to happen, and I couldn’t be happier about it. I’m giving the edge to the Cowboys; their coach isn’t really any better, but the Giants have no confidence in theirs at all anymore.
Baltimore at Cincinnati: Could be the best game of the week. I’ll take the home team. Pick: Bengals
Arizona at San Francisco: As trendy as the Cardinals seem to be these days, I just can’t get over my loathing of the Bidwill family. Pick: 49ers
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